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Sports data intelligence. Open source tooling. Permissionless contribution. Finding the edges that others miss, and building the methods to find the next one.

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Live Model Output

[ Demo // Poisson Distribution Model ]
Probability Distribution // Home Goals Scored
0 Goals Expected: 1.62 6+ Goals
Model Output
Market Implied
Historical Avg
Expected Value
+6.4%
Edge Confidence
Model Parameters
Lambda1.62
Sample_N2,847
P_Value0.003
MethodPoisson-MLE
Last_Run
Kelly Criterion
2.8%
Recommended Stake
Model Accuracy // Last 30 Days
71.2%
+3.1pp vs baseline
Spectral Heatmap // Goal Probability by Minute
0' 45' 90'
Edge Distribution // By League
Current Value Bets // Model vs Market
Match Market Model_Prob Market_Prob Edge